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November 19, 2024

Flipping the housing-labor dynamic

By most accounts, the U.S. economy is doing well. Last week, we learned that inflation is rising more slowly than it was a year ago, and consumers are continuing their brisk spending. Lurking beneath this upbeat data, however, is housing, which continues to put a squeeze on the economy.
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June 21, 2021

MainStreet Macro: The Fed’s Role: Thermometer or thermostat? 

by Nela Richardson, Ph.D.

It came as a surprise to no one, anywhere, that the Fed left interest rates at near zero when the Board of Governors met for its regularly scheduled policy meeting last week. The twist in the announcement, though, was a hint that the Fed might raise short-term rates and lower monthly bond purchases sooner than it had suggested. Today we discuss what hats the Fed needs to wear to help Wall Street, Main Street and the overall economy.
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June 14, 2021

MainStreet Macro: Should MainStreet Care about Student Debt?

by Nela Richardson, Ph.D.

This month, students around the country will graduate from college, vocational schools, and high school after a year of learning like no other.  Well it’s almost like no other.  One constant of higher education before and after the pandemic has been its high price tag. U.S. students owe a whopping $1.7 trillion in combined debt. Outstanding student loans have skyrocketed 90% over the past decade. Should Main Street care about student debt?
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June 7, 2021

MainStreet Macro: Where are the workers?

by Nela Richardson, Ph.D.

Last week, the May jobs report captured the attention of economists, policymakers, Wall Street and Main Street. We know where the jobs are. This week, we answer the other question that has plagued us this year – where are all the workers?
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June 1, 2021

MainStreet Macro: The Economy Needs a Vacation–Yours

by Nela Richardson, Ph.D.

Memorial Day weekend – the unofficial kickoff to summer. If you’re like me, yours looks like a combination of work and play. But this year, many Americans have had to postpone their usual summer planning. And many others are preparing to make do with less as states begin to revoke a federal unemployment benefit. On this weeks blog, we look at three ways of looking at this summer's labor outlook.
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May 24, 2021

MainStreet Macro: The Retail Remix

by Nela Richardson, Ph.D.

Last week we explained how to understand the economy in five easy steps. This week we focus on the most important indicator to watch – consumer spending. The great reopening has many of us dusting off our credit cards to shop (I’ll be honest, I never stopped). Yet the retail landscape is being transformed. Trends in place before COVID-19 accelerated during the pandemic and are remixing retail into the future.
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May 17, 2021

MainStreet Macro: How are we doing? Unpacking the economy in five easy steps

by Nela Richardson, Ph.D.

Fourteen months after the pandemic’s initial assault, Main Streeters want to know how we’re doing. The answer isn’t simple. There’s a deluge of data, but depending on where you look, you could find different answers. So how are we doing – really? Here are five things to watch to get a sense of the economy’s overall well-being, ranked from important to very important.
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May 10, 2021

MainStreet Macro: Job Switching

by Nela Richardson, Ph.D.

Typically, when the economic growth starts to accelerate like it is now, workers dust off their resumes and look for better options. The economy grew a vigorous 6.4% annualized in the first three months of the year, and is poised to grow by double digits in the current quarter. Yet recent data shows that even as the economy has improved, employees are reluctant to seek out new opportunities. In this week’s blog, we discuss the analysis conducted on 18 million workers to measure the financial returns to job switching.
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May 3, 2021

MainStreet Macro: The Global Workforce Speaks

by Nela Richardson, Ph.D.

We’ve spent much of MainStreet Macro’s first four months tracking the economic recovery and unprecedented changes in employment due to the coronavirus pandemic. This week, we shift gears to hear from workers themselves about how their attitudes and lives have adjusted.
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