FEATURED POST
December 9, 2025
Small employers have something to tell us
For the four weeks ending Nov. 22, 2025, private employers added an average of 4,750 jobs a week. This week’s positive number hints at an upswing in the labor market after four straight weeks of negative pulse estimates. These numbers are preliminary and could change as new data is added.
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November 25, 2025
A silver twist on the gig economy
The federal government’s delayed September employment report, released last week, showed that the economy added 119,000 jobs that month, better than economists had predicted.
But for self-employed workers, the news wasn’t as good.
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November 18, 2025
Job growth is sluggish, but new hires are on the upswing. How?
Hiring has slowed from earlier in the year, so one would think that new hires—which we define as workers added to an employer payroll in the last three months—would be a shrinking share of the workforce. Instead, they’re on the upswing. What gives?
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November 11, 2025
The NER Pulse
For the four weeks ending Oct. 25, 2025, private employers shed an average of 11,250 jobs a week, suggesting that the labor market struggled to produce jobs consistently during the second half of the month. These numbers are preliminary and could change as new data is added.
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October 28, 2025
Meeting the moment: ADP’s new weekly labor-market pulse
A lot can happen in a month, especially in an economy as complex as ours. Starting today, ADP will publish a weekly tracker of private-sector U.S. employment. As the economy undergoes long-term structural change driven by AI, demographics, and short-term business cycle fluctuations, our high-frequency NER pulse will provide a near real-time view of job creation and loss.
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October 21, 2025
Creative destruction in the age of AI
Imagine an economy that, for decades, had no growth. Standards of living that never improved. Wealth and money that remained dormant. In our modern era, the concept of sustained growth is considered commonplace. But in the annals of human experience, economic progress is unusual. The norm has been a lack of sustained growth or acceleration.
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October 14, 2025
The big stay is sticking
More than two years ago, I wrote that the Great Resignation had become the big stay, with fewer workers leaving their jobs. Since then, staying put has become a mainstay of the labor market. In August, employee quits were down 14 percent from their pre-pandemic levels and 32 percent from their peak during the Great Resignation. With the big stay sticking, let’s take a fresh look at private-sector turnover and pay.
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October 7, 2025
Jobs and data: Here’s where the two meet
We had a rare event last week. On jobs Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released no data because of the government shutdown. With no news, market watchers and the media had time on their hands, so we spent the day fielding questions about ADP’s monthly National Employment Report. Here’s a roundup of the questions we got and how we answered them. But first, a quick primer.
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